There are great expectations around the future of autonomous vehicles (AVs) and equally much uncertainty. Some believe that AVs will transform safety and efficiency and are making significant investments in this area. Others are concerned that the technological developments are outpacing society’s ability to adapt, and there is an urgent requirement to develop better regulation before there is widespread deployment. A major global Open Foresight project has explored the key issues for the future of AVs. Multiple expert workshops and discussions around the world have built the informed view.
This final report brings together the insights from 8 major expert workshops and 6 other discussions undertaken around the world. It details the issues that are the source of major debate around the world and highlights where the autonomous vehicle field is heading by 2030.
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This interim report shares the findings from the first five expert discussions in Los Angeles, Frankfurt, Singapore, Wellington and Melbourne. It highlights the emerging issues that are the source of major debate around the world. These include the impact of regulation; the ambition for less congestion; rethinking transport planning; the first/last mile challenge; the opportunities for automated freight and the need for more and better data sharing.
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This project was kicked-off with a global review of the emerging landscape for autonomous vehicles. As well looking at the historical context for self-driving cars and trucks, this initial perspective explores the benefits of AVs; different issues for the movement of people vs. goods; the three primary drivers of adoption and the primary centres for innovation. It also includes commentary on the parallel developments in seaborne and air-based autonomous vehicles. It ends with some of the key questions to be explored by the project.
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This is the presentation version used for public conferences and briefings within organisations. It provides a summary of the research implications. It is available to download both as a PDF and also to view on SlideShare.
Download PDF View on SlideShareThis is an accompanying presentation being used for public conferences and briefings within organisations. It provides a summary of the research and highlights some key insights. It is available to download both as a PDF and also to view on SlideShare.
Download PDF View on SlideShareThis is the presentation version of the initial perspective used as the starting point for the global project.
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The perspective on the future Autonomous Vehicles from one of the leading centres of activity.
We are delighted to announce the details of two upcoming events exploring the future of autonomous vehicles in Australia and New Zealand.
Frankfurt expert workshop exploring the future of autonomous vehicles confirmed for 22 May.
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The need for deeper cross-sector collaboration is seen to be more critical than further technology development to deliver the ambition for autonomous vehicles.
We are proud to launch our latest global report exploring the Future of Digital Identity.
A global open foresight project to explore the future of autonomous vehicles.
Revisiting the perspective of 2020 from back in 2010.
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An updated perspective on the future of the company.
Future Agenda runs the world's largest open foresight programme and provides strategic advice to leading organisations globally. In 2010 and 2015 we undertook major worldwide research leading hundreds of expert workshops across over 20 topics. The insights from these discussions have been shared online and in two major publications – 'The World in 2020' and 'The World in 2025'. The next global view of The World in 2030 is currently being shared online.
Each year, the Future Agenda team also undertakes in-depth global open foresight research projects on key themes of interest. In 2016 the focus was the Future of Cities. In 2017 it was the Future of Philanthropy and the Future of Patient Data. For 2018 the focus was the Future Value of Data, the Future of Digital Identity and Autonomous Vehicles. Other current topics include the Future of Work and the Future of Healthcare.
All our research is openly shared under the Creative Commons Non-Commercial license.
